Sunday, July 17, 2005

Bubble, bubble, toil and trouble ...


We are selling our house. This article is not an ad, but if you are looking for the nicest house in New Orleans East then check it out at house.jbv.com.

Slate.com's Daniel Gross writes about "Bubble Over Troubled Waters: Why the real estate bubble could be good news for the economy." He refers to "what many are already calling the successor bubble to the dot-com fiasco: the U.S. housing market."

On the positive side, Northern Trust economist Asha Bangalore notes that "the performance of the housing market has played a visible role in payroll growth." Gross adds that “Spending on housing flows into a remarkably wide range of sectors—and the overwhelming majority of the spending is local.”

So are these people out of their jobs when the bubble bursts? Gross suggests that it is “possible that housing was the bridge that helped us get over the post-bust job chasm.”

In a Greg Thomas article entitled “Up, Up, and Away” in today’s New Orleans Times-Picayune (TP), the subtitle reads “N.O.-area home prices keep soaring, leaving some to wonder if a market tumble is on the horizon.”

Greg reports that “Sales prices of single-family homes in the metro area continued their skyward trajectory during the first six months of the year, climbing 11 percent compared with the same period in 2004. Some experts say it could be the highest jump in local home prices in at least 50 years.“

So I am buying and selling in the bubble. The TP shows that where we are selling, prices are up 34% over last year, while where we are buying they are only up 10%. Could I have timed this transaction just right? I will keep you posted.

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1 Comments:

Anonymous Anonymous said...

“We cannot live for ourselves alone. Our lives are connected by a thousand invisible threads, and along these sympathetic fibers, our actions run as causes and return to us as results.”
- Herman Melville

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